Earlier on this year a smart VC, who multiple times has competed successfully against Google, told me that Google is generally willing to act as an “irrational economic player”. It’s willing to destroy value just so others can’t get at it, even if it means destroying value for itself.
Google just announced that it will offer navigation. Navigation has so far captured 70%+ of the $2 billion mapping market. The bad news for established navigation players like Tele Atlas and Navteq is that this will erode the value of navigation, just like the value of maps have been eroded. The good news for those players is that Google has now tipped its hand and shown that it’s willing to compete against the very ecosystem that it has been nurturing over the past couple of years.
Google’s
strategy is to leverage maps, including navigation, to extend its current
search franchise into local search. We’ve believed from day one of CloudMade
that contextual search, using location data and some knowledge about the user
(for example which app he/she is using) creates much more valuable CPM/CPC/CPAs.
If you’re an advertiser or a merchant, you will pay more per impression if you
know someone is a mountain biker and is near the bicycle mega store you own.
Google betting on one-size-fits
all model
Google is betting on building a horizontal, local search franchise. I know that
sounds like an oxymoron, but please read on, it gets clearer. Google is
building a one-size-fits-all set of services around mapping, and will serve the
masses with those. Think about Google Maps, Latitude or Earth. They are
horizontal one-size-fits-all web apps with little or no segmentation. Everyone uses the same app.
Meanwhile,
in the process of building out end-user applications rather than sticking to
being a platform player, Google is causing considerable collateral damage. Its
move into the territory normally occupied by mobile operators, OEMs and small,
medium and large developers is turning the marketplace against itself. The
honeymoon is over and the do-no-evil days have ended. Google has declared any
monetizable pocket in tech a target, including the key franchises of Apple,
Microsoft, the mobile operators and now also mobile application developers. The
problem with Google’s approach is, the value is not in horizontal services, but
in leveraging the democratizing effect of the app stores to use the 100,000+
vertical apps as a way to divide the market into tiny segments and let them
flourish and gain traction. As I
speak to mobile operators and handset manufacturers about the CloudMade
business, it’s clear that most of the players understand the value of their
immense reach, and want to pick long-term partners with whom they can build a
franchise in local search, local advertising and local geo services.
CloudMade believes vertical apps will
inherently nano-segment the market
Most of the
impressions that will hit consumers, and most searches that are contextually
and location oriented, will occur through vertical apps. Take the mountain
biker example. Where will I be more likely to respond if I want to a) navigate
my mountain bike though a new trail and b) click on that ad from the bicycle
mega store? A horizontal Google app, or a well crafted, vertical app written by
a focused developer who understands my special interests? We believe the
latter. We believe the mountain biking savvy, app developing expert who knows
the hidden trails in his/her community will be better at providing relevance to
local mountain bikers.
So what are we doing at CloudMade?
We’re building out our traction in the vertical mobile application area,
signing developers within key categories that we believe will drive massive
volume. This is a real micro-segmented approach, aimed at driving traffic to
thousands of narrow verticals. We’re already seeing this scale.
Local, relevant ads: We’re jumping
the learning curve on Location Based Advertising and Sponsored POIs. We’ll
shortly be offering developers, mobile operators and handset manufacturers a
revenue share on Sponsored POIs and ads that they include in their apps. This
is big news to developers, who so far have had to depend on the modest revenues
from selling apps at $0.99, $1.99 etc.
Data Marketplace: We’re building a
massive marketplace for geo data. In fact, in a few weeks we have our “opening
day” at the CloudMade Data Marketplace, the Turkish Bazar from which developers
can choose a variety of content that they can mash into their maps. This will
result in more app diversity, deeper functionality and even completely new
types of vertical apps.
Offering for operators and handset
manufacturers: CloudMade has created a super interesting set of
propositions for mobile operators and handset manufacturers. We’re doing rev
share deals with them where we work side-by-side to build franchises in the
local geo spatial arena. We offer them onboard maps (built into their devices)
and offboard maps (loaded from our servers), we offer them navigation jointly
with our navigation partners and we offer up relationships with our many
vertical app developers. For Tier 1, 2 and 3 operators and handset
manufacturers this is turning out to be very compelling. The big differentiator
is that the operators get to decide what the services look like, they get to
brand them and they get to make money from them. That is as opposed to the
alternative, which is to take someone else’s services, accept that they are all
branded by someone else, who also pockets the ad revenues from them. We’re focusing on making maps look the way the merchants and developers want
them to look. Through CloudMade’s Style Editor (http://bit.ly/3nkMn2) anyone, even non-technical
people, can produce advanced, custom maps that reflect the brand and identity
of their company or their customers company. We’ve found that many, especially
those with no yellow in their corporate identity, prefer this to a
one-size-fits-all yellow map.
Navigation: We’re continuing to ramp
up our work with key players in the turn-by-turn navigation field to increase
the scope for navigation solutions. We are building assets to help drive the
verticalization of the field, so we see custom navigation for different
verticals. Again, CloudMade doesn’t believe in one-size-fits-all. We think
different types of navigation will require different types of apps. For
example, if I’m hiking in the mountains I don’t care about roads. I want to
navigate hiking trails, be directed to places where I can fill my water bottle,
and I want to know where the vista points are.
Last, but not least, the most important component of CloudMade’ approach. Tools, tools, tools: CloudMade is
focusing a lot of effort on the tools side. We believe that the best way we can
serve the community of mappers and developers is to put all the control in
their hands. We’ve demonstrated this through our efforts already, for example with
our iPhone libraries (http://bit.ly/2IRZA3). We’re similarly putting the
control of Location Based Ads and Sponsored POIs into the hands of developers.
Put yourself in the shoes of the vertical app developer. You know better than
anyone else how your constituents want to be advertised to, what ads they want
(and don’t want) to see and how to place those apps in your app.
Similarly, we’re readying a suite of tools that makes mapping easier, faster
and more powerful. CloudMade’s web based Mapzen tool (
http://bit.ly/1MRz8U), and Mapzen POI Collector for
iPhone (http://bit.ly/2HsiAR) will be available shortly. This suite of tools
enables us to further serve the 180,000 person large OpenStreetMap community
that is building the most detailed, finely textured and accurate map of the
world. The community was founded by the founders of CloudMade, and most members
of the CloudMade team are active members of the OpenStreetMap community. The
map we’re building in the community is stunning in it’s detail. It’s
essentially the Wikipedia of maps. After all, who knows better how to map a
community than people who live in the community. Just look at this Stanford
example: http://bit.ly/3HJiRh vs. http://bit.ly/1i2N8m.
The Mapzen suite enables us to bridge the needs of app developers, who serve as
a proxy for consumers in a given vertical segment, and the mappers, who are
members of local communities or specialists in a certain type of mapping (e.g.
mountain biking trails). Bridging the consumers needs for maps and the mappers’
desire to create maps that truly reflect their local community will result in mobile
and web applications that both feature better maps and be more attractive to
users.
So what’s the bottom line?
Over the next twelve months, we will see hundreds of thousands of vertical apps use maps and location services to better serve consumers with data about where they are, where they are going, how they get there and what is surrounding them at their location. We will see mappers collect map data that is highly relevant to local, narrow communities. We will see owners of diverse datasets make their data available though the Data Marketplace. In turn, we will see app developers jump on the opportunity and leverage the map data and Data Marketplace datasets into highly targeted, compelling and enchanting apps. Many will choose to monetize the apps through a combination of app store revenues as well as carefully selected Location Based Advertising and Sponsored POIs.
If you
are a developer that has yet to use our platform, get started here: http://bit.ly/Vjdcp (or if you’re an iPhone
developer, go here: http://bit.ly/2IRZA3).” If you are with a larger company with a need for a mapping
provider that does not compete with you email me at juha@cloudmade.com.
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